Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.335351 1.576852 1.829418 2.111627 2.416603 2.734823 3.090568
2024-12-22 0.967432 1.298180 1.666692 2.100674 2.591371 3.123371 3.738389
2024-12-29 0.785208 1.159165 1.595043 2.126465 2.744394 3.429567 4.236712
2025-01-05 0.638319 1.038781 1.526676 2.140849 2.872816 3.700056 4.689773
2025-01-12 0.504315 0.911831 1.431623 2.106686 2.929947 3.876527 5.024571
2025-01-19 0.453342 0.886064 1.456346 2.212790 3.149266 4.237882 5.569472
2025-01-26 0.414557 0.870755 1.489857 2.326142 3.374603 4.604446 6.119214
2025-02-02 0.386682 0.866798 1.535359 2.452512 3.614459 4.987510 6.688128
2025-02-09 0.368279 0.874053 1.594047 2.594520 3.872896 5.392529 7.283102
2025-02-16 0.333487 0.850960 1.607975 2.676218 4.054984 5.705316 7.769063
2025-02-23 0.286956 0.802409 1.582022 2.702298 4.165085 5.929787 8.149340
2025-03-02 0.214978 0.698347 1.468462 2.605277 4.114671 5.955932 8.290536
2025-03-09 0.154724 0.605613 1.368764 2.528812 4.096344 6.030480 8.502953
2025-03-16 0.113029 0.538119 1.301222 2.492544 4.127364 6.164422 8.786550
2025-03-23 0.090880 0.506881 1.287504 2.529506 4.252149 6.413012 9.207482
2025-03-30 0.068875 0.468622 1.258629 2.542294 4.343412 6.618873 9.576074
2025-04-06 0.045468 0.415265 1.198666 2.505753 4.365831 6.736017 9.834439
2025-04-13 0.041533 0.420439 1.241318 2.622133 4.595508 7.116485 10.417745
2025-04-20 0.038736 0.428674 1.289355 2.746762 4.836771 7.512235 11.020669
2025-04-27 0.037378 0.441768 1.346331 2.885217 5.097384 7.933276 11.655677
2025-05-04 0.037533 0.460633 1.414158 3.040552 5.381621 8.385127 12.329636
2025-05-11 0.032299 0.456531 1.438809 3.129752 5.575170 8.721258 12.860731
2025-05-18 0.023562 0.432651 1.424576 3.158210 5.684509 8.949189 13.257553